Market Recap – 30 September 2025
The benchmark index Nifty 50 witnessed a rangebound session on Tuesday, a day ahead of the RBI Monetary Policy declaration.
- The index opened at 24,691.95, touched an intraday high of 24,731.80, and faced selling pressure near that zone.
- It slipped to an intraday low of 24,587.70 before recovering slightly to close at 24,611.10, just above the crucial 24,600 mark.
- Being the monthly expiry day for Nifty, Bank Nifty, FinNifty, and F&O stocks, volatility was expected.
Nifty Index Data – 30 September 2025
| Particulars | Data |
|---|---|
| Opening | 24,691.95 |
| Intraday High | 24,731.80 |
| Intraday Low | 24,587.70 |
| Closing | 24,611.10 |
| Trading Range | 24,600 – 24,700 |
NSE Market Breadth – 30 September 2025
| Particulars | Count |
|---|---|
| Total Stocks Traded | 3,118 |
| Advances | 1,517 |
| Declines | 1,507 |
| Unchanged | 94 |
| 52-Week Highs | 79 |
| 52-Week Lows | 109 |
| Stocks in Upper Circuit | 67 |
| Stocks in Lower Circuit | 68 |
| NSE Market Cap (₹ Lakh Cr.) | 448.78 |
| NSE Market Cap (US $ Trillion) | 5.05 |
Nifty Prediction for 01 October 2025 | Wednesday
The upcoming RBI Monetary Policy will be the key trigger for Wednesday’s session.
- Rate Cut / Dovish Stance → May fuel a rally, pushing Nifty towards 24,800–25,000 levels.
- Status Quo / Hawkish Tone → Sentiment may turn negative, dragging Nifty towards 24,500–24,300.
Currently, 24,700 is the make-or-break level for the market. The index closed just above it, signaling support. However, upside momentum requires a strong close above 24,700–24,730.
Technical View
- Resistance Levels:
1. 24,730
2. 24,820–24,850
3. 25,020 - Support Levels:
1. 24,600
2. 24,520
3. 24,430
Key Observations:
- Major Resistance: 24,800
- Make-or-Break Level: 24,700
- Option Chain Data:
- Highest Call OI: 25,000 (Strong resistance)
- Significant Call OI: 24,700 (immediate resistance)
- Highest Put OI: 24,000 (major support)
- Other Supports: 24,300, 24,600, 24,700
👉 Trading Strategy:
- Stay bullish above 24,700 – Upside potential till 24,800–25,020.
- Stay bearish below 24,700 – Downside possible towards 24,500–24,300.
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Global Cues to Track
- US Fed commentary on inflation and interest rates.
- Crude oil prices movement as Brent edges near $95 levels.
- US Dollar Index & INR movement – Rupee weakness may add pressure on equities.
- FIIs activity – Recent selling has kept indices under check.
- Asian & European market trends ahead of RBI policy.
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Sentiment Indicators
- India VIX: 11.07 (low volatility, but could spike post RBI policy).
- Put Call Ratio (PCR): 0.72 → Indicates bearish undertone.
Bias for Wednesday – 01 October 2025
- Neutral before RBI policy.
- If Rate Cut / Dovish Guidance → Upside bias, Nifty may test 24,800–25,000.
- If No Change / Hawkish stance → Downside bias, Nifty may slip towards 24,300.
Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only. Stock market investments are subject to risks. Levels and predictions shared above are based on technical and derivative data analysis. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
